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UDF Poised to Reclaim Thrissur Corporation

The United Democratic Front (UDF) is on course for a decisive return to power in the Thrissur Municipal Corporation, marking a significant political shift in Kerala’s local body polls of 2025. Early trends from the counting centres indicate that the Congress-led front has crossed the halfway mark comfortably, signalling a clear voter mandate and a reversal of fortunes after a decade-long gap.
According to the latest counting trends, the UDF is leading in 33 divisions of the Thrissur Corporation, well above the majority threshold. The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) trails with leads in 11 divisions, while the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is ahead in eight. Four Independent candidates are also leading, though their role appears marginal in the current arithmetic.

A Sharp Contrast to the 2020 Verdict

The emerging result represents a stark contrast to the 2020 civic polls, which produced one of the most dramatic finishes in Thrissur’s political history. That election ended in a rare deadlock, with the UDF and LDF securing 24 seats each, while the BJP won six. The remaining seat was taken by an Independent, M.K. Varghese, who eventually emerged as Mayor after assuming the role of kingmaker.

In 2025, the UDF’s commanding lead has rendered such post-poll bargaining irrelevant. The numbers suggest a decisive verdict, indicating voter preference for a stable and clearly identifiable leadership at the civic level.

‘Suresh Gopi Wave’ Fails to Translate

One of the most striking aspects of the current trends is the absence of the much-publicised “Suresh Gopi wave.” The BJP had entered the Kerala local body polls with high expectations, buoyed by Union Minister Suresh Gopi’s emphatic victory from Thrissur in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Party leaders had repeatedly claimed that the parliamentary momentum would convert into a historic breakthrough in the Corporation.

While the NDA has marginally improved its performance compared to 2020, increasing its leads from six to eight divisions, the surge anticipated by the party has not materialised. The results suggest that voters drew a clear distinction between parliamentary representation and local governance.

UDF’s Strategic Recovery

For the UDF, the trends point to a successful course correction. Party insiders describe the result as a recovery from what they had earlier termed a “slip between the cup and the lip” in 2020. Improved grassroots coordination, candidate selection, and focused local campaigning appear to have helped consolidate votes in favour of the Congress-led alliance.

The resurgence in Thrissur also strengthens the UDF’s broader claim of regaining lost ground across urban local bodies in central Kerala, particularly in districts such as Ernakulam and Thrissur.

Implications for Kerala Politics

The outcome in Thrissur Corporation is likely to have wider political implications as Kerala moves closer to future Assembly and parliamentary contests. For the LDF, the loss underscores the challenges of retaining urban local bodies amid anti-incumbency pressures. For the BJP, the results serve as a reminder that high-profile national victories do not automatically translate into civic-level success.

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