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US GDP Revised Up to 3.8% in Q2 2025, Beating Expectations

RR Team, September 25, 2025September 26, 2025
The United States government on Thursday revised its second-quarter GDP growth upwards to 3.8 percent, surpassing previous estimates of 3.3 percent, according to the Department of Commerce.
This upward revision marks the second adjustment for the quarterly figure, highlighting stronger-than-expected consumer spending as the main driver of growth. The Bureau of Economic Analysis noted that real GDP was revised up by 0.5 percentage points from the prior estimate, primarily reflecting increased household consumption.

Besides consumer activity, the second-quarter growth also benefitted from a decline in imports, which are subtracted in GDP calculations. Analysts observed that inventory stockpiling earlier in the year due to anticipated tariffs had slowed down in Q2, reducing distortions in economic activity.

Meanwhile, the first-quarter GDP figure was revised downward by 0.1 percentage point to a contraction of 0.6 percent, attributed to lower investment, government spending, and exports than initially estimated.

The upward revision reflects resilience in the US economy, suggesting that domestic demand remains strong despite global uncertainties. Economists say that the GDP data underscores the importance of consumer confidence and household spending in supporting overall economic growth.

These figures come amid broader discussions on economic policy and trade tariffs. Observers note that while tariffs initially encouraged businesses to stockpile goods, consumption patterns have normalized, supporting sustainable economic expansion.

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